So many people are
complaining that it was a waste of time to close the city for the snowstorm
that hit the northeast on January 27.
These people suffer from a common
malady – 20/20 hindsight. These people do not understand what it takes to determine
what the weather will be based on multiple sources of data. Anything can change
a forecast.
The National Weather Service, based on
the information available, said that New York City would get 12 to 24 inches of
snow. There were no exceptions of which I know.
Following the predictions from the
blizzard warning, and from past experience, the proper thing to do was close
the city to traffic, get people to stay off the streets, and to shut down all
trains and buses.
But
something very interesting occurred. There was a ridge of drier air from about
New York City to the west. All the bands of snow headed west hit the dry ridge
and practically petered out. No forecaster saw this happening. Central Park got
9.8 inches. Just 30 miles to the east, Long Island got 2 feet or more. That was
close.
From all the indicators, Governor
Cuomo and Mayor de Blasio did the right thing. It is always better to play
safe, especially when it comes to the lives of millions of people. The worst
thing to do was leave everything running, have the storm hit as conjectured,
and let millions get stranded in feet of snow with no way to get around.
No one should be complaining that the
city was closed down. They should be grateful that the governor and mayor did
what had to be done to protect them.
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